Betting on the Underdog: When to Take the Risk in eSports


eSports betting has become a popular pastime, especially among men aged in the UK who love the thrill and strategy involved. One of the most intriguing and potentially rewarding aspects of eSports betting is wagering on the underdog. This article will provide guidelines on when and why to consider betting on the underdog in various eSports competitions, helping you make informed and profitable decisions.

Understanding the Concept of the Underdog in eSports

Definition and Characteristics of an Underdog

In eSports, the underdog is the team or player perceived to have a lower chance of winning a match or tournament. These competitors are often less favored by bookmakers and the betting public, resulting in higher odds and potential payouts. Characteristics of an underdog include:

  • Lower rankings: Typically, underdogs have lower rankings compared to their opponents.
  • Less consistent performance: They may have a history of inconsistent performance or recent losses.
  • Lesser-known teams or players: Underdogs are often from less recognized organizations or regions.

Popular eSports Games and Tournaments Where Underdog Bets Are Common

Certain eSports games and tournaments frequently see underdog bets due to their competitive nature and diverse player base. These include:

  • League of Legends (LoL): With its global reach and numerous regional leagues, LoL often features underdog teams making surprise runs in tournaments like the World Championship.
  • Dota 2: The International, Dota 2’s premier tournament, is known for its unpredictable outcomes and underdog stories.
  • Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS): CS’s Major tournaments frequently showcase upsets by lesser-known teams.

Understanding the dynamics of these games and tournaments can help identify potential underdog betting opportunities.

Evaluating When to Bet on the Underdog

Key Factors to Consider: Team Performance, Player Statistics, and Recent Form

When evaluating whether to bet on the underdog, consider the following factors:

  • Team Performance: Analyze the overall performance of the team in recent matches. Look for signs of improvement or factors that could influence their performance, such as roster changes or new strategies.
  • Player Statistics: Evaluate individual player stats, including kill/death ratios, damage per minute, and other relevant metrics. Strong individual performances can elevate an underdog’s chances.
  • Recent Form: Consider the team’s recent form. A team on an upward trajectory or with recent strong performances against tough opponents might be a good underdog bet.

Analyzing Matchups and Historical Data

Matchups and historical data provide valuable insights:

  • Head-to-Head Record: Review the head-to-head record between the teams. Some underdogs may have a favorable record against specific opponents.
  • Playstyle Matchup: Analyze how the playstyles of the teams interact. An underdog with a playstyle that counters their opponent’s strategy has a better chance of winning.
  • Historical Performance: Look at historical performance in similar tournaments or against similar opponents to gauge potential outcomes.

Spotting Potential Upsets and Momentum Shifts

Underdogs often thrive in situations where upsets or momentum shifts are likely:

  • Tournament Context: Underdogs may perform better in high-stakes matches or when they have nothing to lose.
  • In-Game Momentum: Watch for in-game momentum shifts, such as winning crucial rounds or objectives, which can boost the underdog’s confidence and performance.
  • Psychological Factors: Consider the psychological factors at play, such as the favorite team underestimating the underdog or feeling pressure to perform.

Reasons to Bet on the Underdog

Higher Payouts and Better Odds

One of the main reasons to bet on the underdog is the potential for higher payouts. Because underdogs are less favored, bookmakers offer better odds on their victories. A successful bet on an underdog can result in a significant return on investment, making it a lucrative option for bettors willing to take the risk.

Emotional and Psychological Factors in Underdog Performances

Underdogs often play with a sense of freedom and lack of pressure that can lead to standout performances. They may also be highly motivated to prove themselves against more favored opponents. These emotional and psychological factors can contribute to unexpected victories and make betting on the underdog an exciting and rewarding experience.

Market Inefficiencies and Overlooked Factors

Betting markets can sometimes overlook key factors that favor the underdog, such as recent improvements in performance, strategic changes, or favorable matchups. Savvy bettors who identify these inefficiencies can capitalize on undervalued underdogs and enjoy higher returns.

Strategies for Betting on the Underdog

Pre-Match Analysis: Researching Team Strengths and Weaknesses

Effective pre-match analysis involves:

  • Research: Conduct thorough research on both the underdog and their opponent. Understand the strengths, weaknesses, and recent form of each team.
  • Team Dynamics: Consider the dynamics within the team, such as recent roster changes, team morale, and internal conflicts, which can impact performance.
  • Match Context: Analyze the context of the match, including its importance in the tournament, potential external pressures, and historical significance.

In-Play Betting: Adjusting Bets Based on Live Performance and Game Dynamics

In-play betting allows you to adjust your bets based on real-time developments:

  • Live Updates: Monitor live updates and statistics to assess the underdog’s performance during the match. Early signs of strong performance can indicate a potential upset.
  • Game Dynamics: Pay attention to the flow of the game, including key moments such as early kills, objective control, and economic advantage, which can influence the outcome.
  • Dynamic Betting: Use dynamic betting options to adjust your wagers as the game unfolds, taking advantage of emerging opportunities.

Managing Risk: Setting a Budget and Diversifying Bets

Risk management is crucial for successful betting on underdogs:

  • Set a Budget: Determine a budget for your underdog bets and stick to it. Avoid chasing losses by betting more than you can afford.
  • Diversify Bets: Spread your bets across multiple matches and outcomes to reduce the impact of any single loss. Consider different bet types, such as outright winners, specific game outcomes, and player performance.

Effective risk management ensures a balanced approach to betting, minimizing potential losses while maximizing opportunities for profit.

Top Platforms for Betting on eSports Underdogs

Overview of the Best Betting Platforms with Great Deals

Choosing the right platform is essential for a successful betting experience. Some of the top betting platforms for eSports underdogs include:

  • Betway: Offers a wide range of eSports markets, competitive odds, and regular promotions.
  • GG.BET: Known for its extensive eSports coverage, live betting options, and attractive bonuses.
  • Unikrn: Provides unique betting opportunities, including skill-based betting and cryptocurrency options.

Compare these platforms to find the best fit for your betting needs.

Exclusive Offers and Promotions for Underdog Bettors

Many betting platforms offer exclusive deals and promotions for underdog bettors, such as:

  • Welcome Bonuses: New users can receive bonuses for signing up and making their first deposit.
  • Free Bets: Platforms may offer free bets on specific matches or tournaments.
  • Enhanced Odds: Special promotions that offer better odds on selected events.

Take advantage of these offers to boost your betting bankroll and enhance your betting experience. Always read the terms and conditions to understand any wagering requirements or restrictions.


Betting on the underdog in eSports can be an exciting and potentially profitable strategy. By understanding the concept of the underdog, evaluating key factors, and employing smart betting strategies, you can make informed and rewarding wagers. Remember to manage your risks by setting a budget and diversifying your bets. Finally, choose reputable betting platforms that offer great deals and promotions to get the most out of your bets. With the right approach, you can harness the thrill of underdog betting and enjoy substantial rewards.


What defines an underdog in eSports?

An underdog in eSports is a team or player perceived to have a lower chance of winning a match or tournament. They typically have lower rankings, less consistent performance, and are often less favored by bookmakers.

Which eSports games are best for betting on underdogs?

Popular eSports games for betting on underdogs include League of Legends (LoL), Dota 2, and Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS). These games feature competitive tournaments with potential for upsets.

How can I evaluate the potential of an underdog to win?

Evaluate the potential of an underdog by analyzing team performance, player statistics, recent form, matchups, and historical data. Consider psychological factors and in-game momentum shifts that could influence the outcome.

What risks are involved in betting on the underdog?

Risks include potential financial losses if the underdog does not perform as expected. To mitigate risks, set a budget, manage your bankroll, and diversify your bets across multiple matches and outcomes.

Can beginners successfully bet on underdogs in eSports?

Yes, beginners can successfully bet on underdogs by conducting thorough research, understanding the games, and following the strategies outlined in this article. It’s important to start with a budget and bet responsibly.

Where can I find the best betting deals for eSports underdogs?

Some of the top platforms offering great deals for eSports underdog bettors include Betway, GG.BET, and Unikrn. These platforms provide competitive odds, a variety of betting options, and generous promotions tailored for eSports enthusiasts.

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